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Nasdaq drags on Wall Street, bond yields fall

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
05 November 2022
Finally, the 35% drop of Netflix impacts the North American indices

The collapse of the streaming company dragged down most technology companies. The Nasdaq index could not raise its head during the session and ended in the red, although moderately. However, this was not the case for the other two indices that remained positive.

 

The fundamental scenario had improved with market interest rates falling slightly. The 10-year bond settled at 2.83%. The beige book report showed that the Fed was not overly concerned about inflation and showed improvements in the American manufacturing sector.

The idea that inflation peaked, and that the Federal Reserve probably doesn’t have to be as aggressive with interest rates as already priced, is spreading in the markets.

 

Yesterday, Bank of America published a report that recommended the purchase of treasury bonds to its clients. Also, it expects the 10-year bond yield to fall to the 2.25% zone soon. This would undoubtedly be very good news for the stock markets, especially for technology stocks, since it would be a sign that inflation is slowing down. It could also mean that the Fed will not need to take measures as restrictive as anticipated (the more restrictive and staunch the measures, the bigger the bite to economic growth).

But what rules the market is the Q1 earnings reports being published. Following this line, next week will be crucial since Microsoft, Apple, or Amazon earnings are to be announced.

 

As a preview, Tesla released 1st quarter revenue just after the regular trading session, and the numbers were positive. The company reported revenues of $18.76B, well above expectations, which pushed the stock to rise over 5% immediately after closing. All this after the stock lost around 4% during the session. This movement will have a significant impact on the Nasdaq index given the high capitalization of Tesla - 1.02 trillion Dollars.

 

Nasdaq closed slightly lower yesterday but is still in a potential reversal pattern that would trigger above the 14,280 points area and push it to levels around 14,820, all from a technical analysis point of view.

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Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters

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Miguel A. Rodriguez
Miguel A. Rodriguez
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Miguel worked for major financial institutions such as Banco Santander, and Banco Central-Hispano. He is a published author of currency trading books.