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Interest rate talks move stock markets

Interest rate talks move stock markets

Interest rates continued to rise globally after Fed officials leaned towards more aggressive decisions at upcoming monetary policy meetings.

The last to speak out in this regard was the head of the Chicago Fed, Charles Evans, who said that the Fed needs to raise interest rates "at the right time" this year and in 2023 to curb high inflation.

More and more investment banks are anticipating rate hikes of up to 2% for this year and above 2.5% for next year, as is the case with Bank of America. Morgan Stanley also forecasted a positive outlook for economic growth that counteracts the restrictive effect of monetary policy necessary to tackle inflation.

Stock markets continued to perform well despite Treasury bond yields rising, with the US 10-year bond reaching the 2.50% level, the highest since 2019.

DowJones30 added more than two weeks of consecutive gains, technically surpassing the 100 and 200-day moving averages and heading towards the next targets at 35,000 and 35,600.

The European stock markets have also had a positive performance along with their North American counterparts, even though Europe is the region most seriously affected by the conflict in Ukraine. However, the ECB's monetary policy of stimulus and the political decisions of the European Commission to abandon energy dependence on Russia is contributing to economic expectations not being so negative.

The German DAX index stopped gains over the last week, lagging behind the US indices rally. This could technically be a bullish flag that would anticipate new advances towards the pivot zone of 14,900, a level that would mark the turning point towards a market uptrend.

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters.

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